What are the implications of the 2018 election results? Julia Azari and Rachel Bitecofer are two political scientists who followed it closely and know how it compares to prior cycles. Azari is an election analyst and party scholar who finds that politicians claim electoral mandates for action based on the results of elections. We talk about early interpretations of 2018 as a referendum on Trump and why we simplify election results with stories. Bitecofer is an election analyst and a forecaster of the 2018 election who finds that demographics and partisanship are now destiny. We talk about why negative partisanship makes election results easier to foresee as partisans choose clear sides but shift turnout.
Studies: “Delivering the People’s Message” and “The Unprecedented 2016 Presidential Election”
Interviews: Julia Azari, Marquette University and Rachel Bitecofer, Christopher Newport University
Transcript
Transcript coming 11/21.
The post Interpreting the 2018 Election appeared first on Niskanen Center.
from nicholemhearn digest https://niskanencenter.org/blog/interpreting-the-2018-election/
No comments:
Post a Comment